In a Memphis Flyer piece, Jackson Baker practically paints the lettering onto a statehouse parking space for Kemba Ford, one of several hopeful candidates in the special election for House District 91.
Ford’s famous family surely helps with name recognition—but two (as of right now) of the other candidates share a surname with the departed and beloved former representative. Ford also is not the only young, photogenic professional in the running.
Special elections in the Tennessee House of Representatives are fun, because in the normal election cycle, a single district rarely gets the amount of attention available to one that is all by itself. That alone makes me less likely to proffer a ready prediction.
Baker has a huge advantage over me in understanding Memphis politics, but I’m not sure I would have handicapped it the same way, even if I knew more.