Tag Archives: third party

Like fantasy football? You’ll love this.

Happy Friday.

Today we’re standing right up to statistics giant Nate Silver, who calculates a pretty heavy certainty that Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders won’t win their respective nomination contests.

What Sanders and Trump have in common is they’re both unlikely to be nominated. (If I were laying odds, I’d put either one at something like 15-1 or 20-1 against.)

But never mind the numbers. Let’s put a rock in our sling and imagine what would happen if these two (very different, as Silver points out) thorns in the establishment’s side were to amass enough delegates each to be of the two major parties’ chosen ones.

Let that thought sink in for just a second.

What would Hillary do?
Has Hillary Clinton signed a loyalty pledge promising not to run as a third-party candidate? The Clintons would really, really like, please and thank you, to move back into 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. To what lengths would they go to make that happen?

An independent Clinton run (or under a newly minted party banner) in this scenario obviously would triangulate to pull in moderates of whatever stripe. But two things would work against her: she’d be at war with the nation’s oldest surviving political party; and moderate Republicans, as repulsed by Trump as they might be, still would think twice before voting for Hillary Rodham Clinton.

What would Republicans do?
It’s at least remotely possible that a faction of anti-Trump Republicans could strike out on their own, find some way to renege on the pledge, and run their own ticket.

Could we have a four-way election, like some in America’s past? What if voters had these choices?

  • Hillary Clinton, America Forever Party
  • John Kasich, Modern Whig Party
  • Bernie Sanders, Democratic Party
  • Donald J. Trump, Republican Party

What would the national parties do?
Frankly, if it looked like the presidential preference primaries were going to yield a majority of delegates to Sanders, I don’t think the DNC would let him escape the convention. They would contain it through one maneuver or another, and preserve Clinton’s ascendancy.

I don’t know that I could be so bold with a prediction about the national Republican Party. It’s possible they would resign themselves to a Trump nomination and urge him to pick an agreeable running mate.

Yes, this is all casual conjecture. None of this will happen, probably.

But if Sanders and Trump were to win, we definitely could call it the “wild hair” election.

Raumesh Akbari wins House District 91 special election

Ballot access scores symbolic victory

Voters in part of Shelby County went to the polls in a special election that was called after the late Rep. Lois DeBerry passed away. Democratic Party nominee Raumesh Akbari, an attorney, won handily over Jim Tomasik, the Libertarian Party chairman, according to uncertified election results.

This is the first House of Representatives election of which I am aware that featured a Democrat, a Libertarian identified as such on the ballot, and no Republican. The district very heavily favors Democratic candidates.

Tomasik initially had been labeled as Independent, but sued in federal court to receive the Libertarian billing. He lost the election, but some observers would say that today’s election was a win for minor parties in their ongoing quest for ballot recognition.

Akbari will face a re-election bid in 2014, when all 99 seats in the House are up for election.

Federal court ruling allows Tomasik to run as Libertarian Party candidate

The same judge who in 2012 declared parts of the state’s ballot access laws unconstitutional has issued an injunction requiring the Shelby County Election Commission to list Jim Tomasik as a Libertarian Party candidate in the upcoming House District 91 election, reports Jackson Baker.

Tomasik, who is chairman of the Tennessee Libertarian Party, filed suit after being listed as an independent candidate. Among other things, the lawsuit claimed an undue burden on minor party members in light of meeting the deadlines for party recognition on the ballot.

Tomasik faces Democratic Party nominee Raumesh Akbari in the Nov. 21 general election. Early voting begins today.

The 2012 case is under appeal by the defendants, Secretary of State Tre Hargett and Coordinator of Elections Mark Goins.